CBSE 12th Standard Maths Subject Probability Case Study Questions With Solution 2021
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CBSE 12th Standard Maths Probability Case Study Questions With Solution 2021
12th Standard CBSE
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Reg.No. :
Maths
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In a play zone, Aastha is playing crane game. It has 12 blue balls, 8 red balls, 10 yellow balls and 5 green balls. If Aastha draws two balls one after the other without replacement, then answer the following questions.
(i) What is the probability that the first ball is blue and the second ball is green?\((a) \ \frac{5}{119}\) \((b) \ \frac{12}{119}\) \((c) \ \frac{6}{119}\) \((d) \ \frac{5}{119}\) (ii) What is the probability that the first ball is yellow and the second ball is red?
\((a) \ \frac{6}{119}\) \((b) \ \frac{8}{119}\) \((c) \ \frac{24}{119}\) (d) None of these (iii) What is the probability that both the balls are red?
\((a) \ \frac{4}{85}\) \((b) \ \frac{24}{595}\) \((c) \ \frac{12}{119}\) \((c) \ \frac{64}{119}\) (iv) What is the probability that the first ball is green and the second ball is not yellow?
\((a) \ \frac{10}{119}\) \((b) \ \frac{6}{85}\) \((c) \ \frac{12}{119}\) (d) None of these (v) What is the probability that both the balls are not blue?
\((a) \ \frac{6}{595}\) \((b) \ \frac{12}{85}\) \((c) \ \frac{15}{17}\) \((d) \ \frac{253}{595}\) (a) -
A doctor is to visit a patient. From the past experience, it is known that the probabilities that he will come by cab, metro, bike or by other means of transport are respectively 0.3, 0.2, 0.1 and 0.4. The probabilities that he will be late are 0.25, 0.3, 0.35 and 0.1 if he comes by cab, metro, bike and other means of transport respectively.
Based on the above information, answer the following questions.
(i) When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by metro?\((a) \ \frac{5}{4}\) \((b) \ \frac{2}{7}\) \((c) \ \frac{5}{21}\) \((d) \ \frac{1}{6}\) (ii) When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by cab?
\((a) \ \frac{4}{21}\) \((b) \ \frac{1}{7}\) \((c) \ \frac{5}{14}\) \((d) \ \frac{2}{21}\) (iii) When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by bike?
\((a) \ \frac{5}{21}\) \((b) \ \frac{4}{7}\) \((c) \ \frac{5}{6}\) \((d) \ \frac{1}{6}\) (iv) When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by other means of transport?
\((a) \ \frac{6}{7}\) \((b) \ \frac{5}{14}\) \((c) \ \frac{4}{21}\) \((d) \ \frac{2}{7}\) (v) What is the probability that the doctor is late by any means?
\((a) \ 1\) \((b) \ 0\) \((c) \ \frac{1}{2}\) \((d) \ \frac{1}{4}\) (a) -
On a holiday, a father gave a puzzle from a newspaper to his son Ravi and his daughter Priya. The probability of solving this specific puzzle independently by Ravi and Priya are \(\frac{1}{4}\) and \(\frac{1}{5}\) respectively.
Based on the above information, answer the following questions.
(i) The chance that both Ravi and Priya solved the puzzle, is(a) 10% (b) 5% (c) 25% (d) 20% (ii) Probability that puzzle is solved by Ravi but not by Priya, is
(a) \(\frac{1}{2}\) (b) \(\frac{1}{5}\) (c) \(\frac{3}{5}\) (d) \(\frac{1}{3}\) (iii) Find the probability that puzzle is solved.
(a) \(\frac{1}{2}\) (b) \(\frac{1}{5}\) (c) \(\frac{2}{5}\) (d) \(\frac{5}{6}\) (iv) Probability that exactly one of them solved the puzzle, is
(a) \(\frac{1}{30}\) (b)\(\frac{1}{20}\) (c) \(\frac{7}{20}\) (d) \(\frac{3}{20}\) (v) Probability that none of them solved the puzzle, is
(a) \(\frac{1}{5}\) (b) \(\frac{3}{5}\) (c) \(\frac{2}{5}\) (d) None of these (a) -
One day, a sangeet mahotsav is to be organised in an open area of Rajasthan. In recent years, it has rained only 6 days each year. Also, it is given that when it actually rains, the weatherman correctly forecasts rain 80% of the time. When it doesn't rain, he incorrectly forecasts rain 20% of the time.
If leap year is considered, then answer the following questions
(i) The probability that it rains on chosen day isa) \(\frac{1}{366}\) (b) \(\frac{1}{73}\) (c) \(\frac{1}{60}\) (d) \(\frac{1}{61}\) (ii) The probability that it does not rain on chosen day is
a) \(\frac{1}{366}\) (b) \(\frac{5}{366}\) (c) \(\frac{360}{366}\) (d) None of these (iii) The probability that the weatherman predicts correctly is
a) \(\frac{5}{6}\) (b) \(\frac{7}{8}\) (c) \(\frac{4}{5}\) (d) \(\frac{1}{5}\) (iv) The probability that it will rain on the chosen day, if weatherman predict rain for that day, is
(a) 0.0625 (b) 0.0725 (c) 0.0825 (d) 0.0925 (v) The probability that it will not rain on the chosen day, if weatherman predict rain for that day, is
(a) 0.94 (b) 0.84 (c) 0.74 (d) 0.64 (a) -
To teach the application of probability a maths teacher arranged a surprise game for 5 of his students namely Archit, Aadya, Mivaan, Deepak and Vrinda. He took a bowl containing tickets numbered 1 to 50 and told the students go one by one and draw two tickets simultaneously from the bowl and replace it after noting the numbers.
Based on the above information, answer the following questions
(i) Teacher ask Vrinda, what is the probability that both tickets drawn by Archit shows even number?(a) 1/50 (b) 12/49 (c) 13/49 (d) 15/49 (ii) Teacher ask Mivaan, what is the probability that both tickets drawn by Aadya shows odd number?
a) 1/50 (b) 2/49 (c) 12/49 (d) 5/49 (iii) Teacher ask Deepak, what is the probability that tickets drawn by Mivaan, shows a multiple of 4 on one ticket and a multiple 5 on other ticket?
a) 14/245 (b) 16/245 (c) 24/245 (d) None of these (iv) Teacher ask Archit, what is the probability that tickets are drawn by Deepak, shows a prime number on one ticket and a multiple of 4 on other ticket?
a) 3/245 (b) 17/245 (c) 18/245 (d) 36/245 (v) Teacher ask Aadya, what is the probability that tickets drawn by Vrinda, shows an even number on first ticket and an odd' number on second ticket?
a) 15/98 (b) 25/98 (c) 35/98 (d) none of these (a)
Case Study Questions
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CBSE 12th Standard Maths Probability Case Study Questions With Solution 2021 Answer Keys
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Let B, R, Y and G denote the events that ball drawn is blue, red, yellow and green respectively.
\(\therefore P(B)=\frac{12}{35}, P(R)=\frac{8}{35}, P(Y)=\frac{10}{35} \text { and } P(G)=\frac{5}{35}\)
\((i) \ (c): P(G \cap B)=P(B) \cdot P(G \mid B)=\frac{12}{35} \cdot \frac{5}{34}=\frac{6}{119}\)
\((ii) \ (\mathbf{b}): P(R \cap Y)=P(Y) \cdot P(R \mid Y)=\frac{10}{35} \cdot \frac{8}{34}=\frac{8}{119}\)
(iii) (a): Let E = event of drawing a first red ball and
F = event of drawing a second red ball
Here, \(P(E)=\frac{8}{35} \text { and } P(E)=\frac{7}{34}\)
\(\therefore \P(F \cap E)=P(E) \cdot P(F \mid E)=\frac{8}{35} \cdot \frac{7}{34}=\frac{4}{85}\)
\(\text {(iv) }(c): P\left(Y^{\prime} \cap G\right)=P(G) \cdot\left(Y^{\prime} \mid G\right)=\frac{5}{35} \cdot \frac{24}{34}=\frac{12}{119}\)
(v) (d): Let E = event of drawing a first non-blue ball and F = event of drawing a second non-blue ball
Here, \(P(E)=\frac{23}{35} \text { and } P(F)=\frac{22}{34}\)
\(\therefore \ P(F \cap E)=P(E) \cdot P(F \mid E)=\frac{23}{35} \cdot \frac{22}{34}=\frac{253}{595}\) -
Let E be the event that the doctor visit the patient late and let A1, A2, A3, A4 be the events that the doctor comes by cab, metro, bike and other means of transport respectively.
\(P\left(A_{1}\right)=0.3, P\left(A_{2}\right)=0.2, P\left(A_{3}\right)=0.1, P\left(A_{4}\right)=0.4\)
P(E I A1) = Probability that the doctor arriving late when he comes by cab = 0.25
Similarly, P ( E I A2) = 0.3, P (E I A3) = 0.35 and P ( E I A3) = 0.1
(i) (b): P(A2 | E) = Probability that the doctor arriving late and he comes by metro
\(=\frac{P\left(A_{2}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{2}\right)}{\sum P\left(A_{i}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{i}\right)}\)
\(=\frac{(0.2)(0.3)}{(0.3)(0.25)+(0.2)(0.3)+(0.1)(0.35)+(0.4)(0.1)}\)
\(=\frac{0.06}{0.21}=\frac{2}{7}\)
(ii) (c): P(A1 | E) = Probability that the doctor arriving late and he comes by cab
\(=\frac{P\left(A_{1}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{1}\right)}{\Sigma P\left(A_{i}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{i}\right)}\)
\(=\frac{(0.3)(0,25)}{(0.3)(0.25)+(0.2)(0.3)+(0.1)(0.35)+(0.4)(0.1)}\)
\(=\frac{0.075}{0.21}=\frac{5}{14}\)
(iii) (d): P(A3| E) = Probability that the doctor arriving late and he comes by bike
\(=\frac{P\left(A_{3}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{3}\right)}{\sum P\left(A_{i}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{i}\right)}\)
\(=\frac{(0.1)(0.35)}{(0.3)(0.25)+(0.2)(0.3)+(0.1)(0.35)+(0.4)(0.1)}\)
\(=\frac{0.035}{0.21}=\frac{1}{6}\)
(iv) (c): P(A4 | E) = Probability that the doctor arriving late and he comes by other means of transport
\(=\frac{P\left(A_{4}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{4}\right)}{\Sigma P\left(A_{i}\right) P\left(E \mid A_{i}\right)}\)
\(=\frac{(0.4)(0.1)}{(0.3)(0.25)+(0.2)(0.3)+(0.1)(0.35)+(0.4)(0.1)}\)
\(=\frac{0.04}{0.21}=\frac{4}{21}\)
(v) (a): Probability that the doctor is late by any means
\(=\frac{2}{7}+\frac{5}{14}+\frac{1}{6}+\frac{4}{21}=1\) -
Let E1 be the event that Ravi solved the puzzle and
E2 be the event that Priya solved the puzzle
Then, p(E1) = 1/4 and P(E2) = 1/5
(i) (b): Since, E1 and E2 are independent events.
∴ P(both solved the puzzle) \(=P\left(E_{1} \cap E_{2}\right)\)
\(=P\left(E_{1}\right) \cdot P\left(E_{2}\right)=\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{5}=\frac{1}{20}=\frac{1}{20} \times 100 \%=5 \%\)
(ii) (b): P(puzzle is solved by Ravi but not by Priya)
\(=P\left(\bar{E}_{2}\right) P\left(E_{1}\right)=\left(1-\frac{1}{5}\right) \cdot \frac{1}{4}=\frac{4}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{4}=\frac{1}{5}\)
(iii) (c) : P(puzzle is solved) = P(E1 or E2)
\(=P\left(E_{1} \cup E_{2}\right)=P\left(E_{1}\right)+P\left(E_{2}\right)-P\left(E_{1} \cap E_{2}\right)\)
\(=\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{5}-\frac{1}{20}=\frac{8}{20}=\frac{2}{5}\)
(iv) (c): P(Exactly one of them solved the puzzle)
\(=P\left[\left(E_{1} \text { and } \bar{E}_{2}\right) \operatorname{or}\left(E_{2} \text { and } \bar{E}_{1}\right)\right] \)
\(=P\left(E_{1} \cap \bar{E}_{2}\right)+P\left(E_{2} \cap \bar{E}_{1}\right) \)
\(=P\left(E_{1}\right) \times P\left(\bar{E}_{2}\right)+P\left(E_{2}\right) \times P\left(\bar{E}_{1}\right) \)
\(=\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{4}{5}+\frac{1}{5} \times \frac{3}{4} \quad\left[\because P\left(\bar{E}_{1}\right)=1-P\left(E_{1}\right)\right] \)
\(=\frac{4}{20}+\frac{3}{20}=\frac{7}{20}\)
(v) (b): P(none of them solved the puzzle)
\(=P\left(\bar{E}_{1} \cap \bar{E}_{2}\right)=P\left(\bar{E}_{1}\right) \cdot P\left(\bar{E}_{2}\right)=\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{4}{5}=\frac{3}{5}\) -
(i) (d): Since, it rained only 6 days each year, therefore, probability that it rains on chosen day is \(\frac{6}{366}=\frac{1}{61}\)
(ii) (c): The probability that it does not rain on chosen day = \(1-\frac{1}{61}=\frac{60}{61}=\frac{360}{366}\)
(iii) (c): It is given that, when it actually rains, the weatherman correctly forecasts rain 80% of the time.
Required probability \( =\frac{80}{100}=\frac{8}{10}=\frac{4}{5}\)
(iv) (a): Let A1 be the event that it rains on chosen day, A2 be the event that it does not rain on chosen day and E be the event the weatherman predict rain.
Then we have, P(A1) \(=\frac{6}{366}, P\left(A_{2}\right)=\frac{360}{366},\)
\(P\left(E \mid A_{1}\right)=\frac{8}{10} \text { and } P\left(E \mid A_{2}\right)=\frac{2}{10}\)
Required probability = P(A1 I E)
\(=\frac{P\left(A_{1}\right) \cdot P\left(E \mid A_{1}\right)}{P\left(A_{1}\right) \cdot P\left(E \mid A_{1}\right)+P\left(A_{2}\right) \cdot P\left(E \mid A_{2}\right)}\)
\(=\frac{\frac{6}{366} \times \frac{8}{10}}{\frac{6}{366} \times \frac{8}{10}+\frac{360}{366} \times \frac{2}{10}}=\frac{48}{768}=0.0625\)
(v) (a): Required probability = 1 - P(A1 I E)
= 1 - 0.0625 = 0.9375 ≈ 0.94. -
(i) (b): Total number of tickets = 50
Let event A = First ticket shows even number and B = Second ticket shows even number
Now, P(Both tickets show even number) = P(A)・P(B | A)
\(=\frac{25}{50} \cdot \frac{24}{49}=\frac{12}{49}\)
(ii) (c): Let the event A = First ticket shows odd number and B = Second ticket shows odd number
P (Both tickets show odd number)
\(=\frac{25}{50} \times \frac{24}{49}=\frac{12}{49}\)
(iii) (c): Required probability = P(one number is a multiple of 4 and other is a multiple of 5)
= P(multiple of 5 on first ticket and multiple of 4 on second ticket) + P(multiple of 4 on first ticket and multiple of 5 on second ticket)
\(=\frac{10}{50} \cdot \frac{12}{49}+\frac{12}{50} \times \frac{10}{49}=\frac{12}{245}+\frac{12}{245}=\frac{24}{245}\)
(iv) (d): Required probability = P(one ticket with prime number and other ticket with a multiple of 4)
\(=2\left(\frac{15}{50} \times \frac{12}{49}\right)=\frac{36}{245}\)
(v) (b): Let the event A = First ticket shows even number and B = Second ticket shows odd number.
Now, P(First ticket shows an even number and second ticket shows an odd number) = P(A)・P(B | A)
\(=\frac{25}{50} \times \frac{25}{49}=\frac{25}{98}\)
Case Study Questions